Exploring suPAR as the Leading Indicator for COVID-19 Risk Assessment
Fri Jun 26 2020
By: Jesper Eugen-Olsen, PhD, Copenhagen University Hospital Hvidovre, Denmark
The COVID-19 pandemic has overwhelmed hospitals, creating a critical need for markers that can quickly identify patients at risk of severe disease. Such markers would help in discharging patients unlikely to develop serious symptoms and isolating those who need more intensive care or ICU admission. Predicting disease progression with biomarkers could streamline this process.
Reports indicate that severe COVID-19 cases often involve hyper-immune responses and cytokine storms. However, cytokines’ instability and sensitivity to sample handling render them impractical for routine clinical decisions.
Research has linked several routine biomarkers to severe COVID-19 outcomes, including increased levels of white blood cells, reduced lymphocytes and platelets, and elevated alanine aminotransferase, creatinine kinase, lactate dehydrogenase, ferritin, C-reactive protein, Interleukin-6, and D-dimer. These could be key in managing patient care during the pandemic.
“It is expected that suPAR is a strong biomarker of disease severity and progression in patients with COVID-19.”
Dr. Jesper Eugen-Olsen
We speculate that suPAR, a stable biomarker of immune activation, is a strong biomarker for development of severe disease and respiratory failure in patients with COVID-19 symptoms (Fig. 1). There are at least five reasons why suPAR may be a suitable marker for this purpose:
- suPAR is a marker of chronic inflammation. Patients with high suPAR have a chronically activated immune system that is not capable of fighting disease.
- suPAR is elevated in elderly with comorbidities and capture the most fragile patients. In acute medical patients in general, suPAR is a strong marker of 30- day readmission and mortality.3,4
- suPAR has been investigated in several viral infections, including HIV, HCV, Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever, and hantavirus. In all cases, suPAR is associated with clinical severity and mortality.5,6,7,8
- suPAR is elevated and associate to disease severity in patients with respiratory diseases including pneumonia9 and COPD10, and predicts risk of acute respiratory distress syndrome in patients with sepsis.11
- The SARS-CoV-2 viral infection is likely to induce highly elevated suPAR in the most severe cases. This may cause acute kidney injury12,13, a disease often observed in COVID-19 patients in the intensive care department.

Fig. 1. Hypothesis: the baseline plasma suPAR level can differentiate whether patients with COVID-19 will have a mild or a severe outcome of the infection.
In summary, it is expected that suPAR is a strong biomarker of disease severity and progression in patients with COVID-19 and may provide an important tool for the managing of patients suspected of having this virus.
Clinical studies documenting this are warranted.



